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That may be what's happening in the US. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention published two studies Wednesday that showed immunity fell among people over the summer. While the vaccines still were 90% protective against severe disease and death, the number of people getting mild or asymptomatic infections grew. "Recent data makes clear that protection against mild and moderate disease has decreased over time. This is likely due to both waning immunity and the strength of the widespread Delta variant," US Surgeon General Dr. Vivek Murthy told a White House briefing Wednesday. One study of nursing home residents showed immunity from any kind of infection fell from 75% in March to 53% in August. But the third dose of vaccine boosts these antibody levels tenfold, Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told the briefing. "Higher levels of antibody may be required to protect against Delta," he said. This is where some of the debate over the need for boosters comes in. The World Health Organization and some infectious diseases experts note that the vaccines are still doing their most important job preventing severe disease and death. "The third dose will likely do very little for further boosting the vaccine's ability to reduce hospitalizations and deaths. That's because the vaccine is already pretty darn good at that," Hensley said. But federal health officials said while there's no indication this second level of protection has started to wane in the US, data from Israel hints that it may have begun to happen there. Because Israel vaccinated most of its population quickly, US officials are looking to surveillance there to predict what might happen in other countries.

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